ALC3192 - Decision Analysis in a Changing Climate

Course CodeALC3192
Course TitleDecision Analysis in a Changing Climate
DescriptionThis course provides participants with a foundation in structured decision making in the context of natural resource management problems addressing climate-related uncertainty.  It will illustrate applications to water resource management, mitigation and endangered species decisions. A solid foundation in structured decision making begins with understanding current practices, theory, and noteworthy case studies including examples assessing climate change impacts. Adaptive management is framed within the context of structured decision making, with an emphasis on uncertainty about responses to management actions and the value of reducing that uncertainty to improve management. You will learn practical approaches to critical thinking, logic, reasoning, and structuring decisions that support your work. You will discover techniques for calculating the expected value of information to reveal the sensitivity of the decision to new information. This course gives you the skills to develop structured approaches in order to make a recommendation or decision that is explicit, transparent, and clear, even when faced with significant uncertainty.

Objectives: At the conclusion of this course, participants should be able to:

• Identify expected ecological impacts of climate change
• Apply the fundamental elements of decision analysis to reach a recommendation that addresses climate-related impacts and uncertainties
• Describe the process of using adaptive management for reducing uncertainty in managing natural resources within existing regulatory frameworks
• Learn how to classify and incorporate different types of uncertainty about system change
• Articulate the role of predictive models in adaptive management and know the desired qualities of a set of alternative models when faced with system change
• Compare modes of learning about system change and understand when and how to use different approaches
• Perform a sensitivity analysis of the decision to new information and calculate the risk and tradeoffs between learning before acting, learning while acting, and acting then learning

Delivery MethodInstructor Led
Instructional Hours36
Non-FWS Fee$0.00
Course Content ContactASHLEY FORTUNE ISHAM; Phone: 304-876-7361; Email:;
Extracted from DOI LEARN on11/21/2014 4:00:32 AM

Schedule:  ALC3192 - Decision Analysis in a Changing Climate

StartEndSession InformationLocationRegisterSession Contact
01/12/2015 01/16/2015 This class is being sponsored by NOAA
Class ends at 12:00 noon on last day.
Ford Island, Hawaii Register Jill Del Vecchio
(304) 876-7424